This market resolves YES if Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceeds 35 percent on December 31, 2030.

YES if:

Natural graphite anode share >= 35 percent on December 31, 2030

Confirmed by at least one priority source

NO if:

Natural graphite anode share is below 35 percent on December 31, 2030

Data unavailable within 60 days of December 31, 2030

Resolution sources (priority order):

Benchmark Mineral Intelligence graphite supply database

Roskill / Wood Mackenzie graphite market report

Panasonic, CATL, LG Energy Solution investor disclosures

USGS Mineral Commodity Summary (graphite)