This market resolves YES if the value of measurable hafnium_spot_price exceeds 4000 USD/kg on June 30, 2027.
See measurable definition: measurables/zirconium/hafnium_spot_price.measurable.yaml
What is being measured: Hafnium unwrought metal spot price (USD/kg) on or nearest to June 30, 2027, based on USGS MCS annual average (for yearly markets) or Asian Metal / Argus Metals International spot quotes (for quarterly markets).
YES if: Hafnium spot price >= 4000 USD/kg on June 30, 2027 NO if: Hafnium spot price < 4000 USD/kg on June 30, 2027
Resolution sources (priority order):
USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Hafnium section (usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs) Published February annually; covers prior calendar year average price
Asian Metal — hafnium unwrought China domestic price (asianmetal.com)
Argus Metals International — hafnium sponge/ingot price
Metal Bulletin / Fastmarkets — hafnium metal price
1,000