Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Delta flight DL0551 from Chicago to New York on February 24, 2026 is cancelled. Resolution will be determined by checking Delta's official flight status page or FlightAware's live flight tracker. The market resolves NO if the flight operates (departs and/or arrives) on February 24, 2026, regardless of delays. If the flight number is not scheduled for that date, the market resolves N/A.

Background

US aviation has experienced 52 days of sustained elevated disruption since January 1, 2026, including Winter Storm Fern (20,000 flights cancelled), an American Airlines meltdown (653 single-day cancellations), and Presidents' Day weekend chaos (3,296 disruptions). On February 21, 2026, there were 134 cancellations and 3,746 delays across US airports, with Delta, American, United, and Southwest hit hardest at Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, Newark, Miami, and Seattle.

Considerations

The Chicago-New York route is one of the busiest in the US, with multiple daily Delta flights. Cancellations on this route are less common than on longer routes, but disruptions remain elevated across the industry heading into late February.

This description was generated by AI.