1. Definition of Default:
• Ukraine fails to make a scheduled payment on its sovereign debt (principal or interest) by the due date.
• A restructuring of debt occurs that includes a haircut or rescheduling due to inability to pay.
• A credit rating agency (e.g., S&P, Moody’s, Fitch) declares Ukraine to be in default.
2. Time Frame:
• The criteria must be met between January 1, 2024, and December 31, 2024.
3. Exclusions:
• Temporary delays due to technical issues or administrative errors, provided the payment is made within a grace period defined in the debt agreement.
4. Sources for Verification:
• Official statements from the Ukrainian government.
• Reports from major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s, Fitch).
• Verified news reports from reputable financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters).
5. Outcome:
• If any of the above criteria are met within the specified time frame, it will be considered that Ukraine has defaulted on its debt in 2024.
Fitch downgraded Ukraine's credit rating to "Restricted Default" https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/fitch-cuts-ukraines-rating-restricted-default-2024-08-13/
@MikeKa does this resolve YES yet? If not, what else would resolve the question?
S&P Global cut Ukraine's credit rating to 'selective' default on Friday
Yes, if S&P or Fitch or Moodys declares it as a default in their ratings.