Price according to coinbase.com

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Bitcoin's price on Coinbase is at or above $107,000 at 11:59 PM UTC on October 31, 2025. The resolution will be determined by checking the BTC/USD price on Coinbase on that date. If Coinbase is unavailable, resolution will use the price from CoinMarketCap as a secondary source.

Background

Bitcoin recently traded at nearly $111,000, having experienced significant volatility in late October. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's unexpectedly hawkish remarks on October 29 suggested markets are pricing in a December rate cut prematurely, sending Bitcoin down 5% over 24 hours and below $110,000. Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $126,296 in October before the recent pullback.

Considerations

The market resolves in just one day, making this a short-term volatility play. Uncertainty around Fed policy decisions is expected to drive Bitcoin and broader crypto volatility through year-end. The $107,000 threshold is relatively close to recent trading levels, requiring only modest upside movement from current prices.