On a scale of 1-10, how mad are you?

There's already other real money prediction markets - I don't understand why Manifold thinks the world needs another one or what competitive advantage they expect to have over say, Kalshi.

@ThisProfileDoesntExist
User-created markets!

Earn a profit from asking an important question (via trading fees)!

Trade on thousands of markets that cater to you rather than dozens managed directly by the platform.

@JamesGrugett My expectation is that Manifold will have to contend with the same laws that Kalshi does, and that will severely limit the allowed user markets.

@ThisProfileDoesntExist Their lawyers say there's a loophole they can use to give them more flexibility than Kalshi, at least in the short term.

is 1 really mad? not sure

@gpt_news_headlines 1 is not mad. 10 is mad as hell.

@MichaelWheatley Does 1 cover the entire range from "not mad, rather excited" to "neutral/indifferent" while 2-10 are various degrees of mad?

@Jason I'm riffing on a market Joshua made, so I can't tell you for certain. Use your judgement. I personally would say yes.

I'd be madder but I've always been careful to not have strong expectations!

@chrisjbillington mad philosopher detected

@jskf I meant about manifold but yes a good philosophy generally probably

@chrisjbillington I was referring to a finding that philosophers were a less likely (than psychology students, probably) to select extreme options when rating how painful experiences are on a survey. Now that I type it out I wonder if it replicates, but it makes sense to me.