Will the mass forced mobilization of at least 250,000 recruits in Ukraine succeed in 2024?
Basic
12
Ṁ835
Dec 31
10%
chance

Yes Resolution: If the mobilized forces of at least 250,000 recruits demonstrate readiness, high morale, sufficient supplies, strong political stability, significant international support, and civilian resilience.

No Resolution: If Ukrainian state fails to mobilize forces of at least 250,000 recruits or the forces lack readiness, face logistical challenges, experience low morale, political instability, limited international support, and civilian populations struggle to maintain essential services.

To resolve whether the mass forced mobilization of at least 250,000 recruits in Ukraine will succeed in 2024, official military reports, logistical assessments, intelligence updates, public opinion surveys, international aid announcements, media coverage, government statements, and reports from independent observers will be considered.

Neither confirming success nor indicating failure, the resolution will remain ambiguous (N/A) due to inconclusive reports from military and intelligence sources, mixed public opinion, limited international assistance, unpredictable civilian resilience, and indecisive government statements.

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