The Board of OpenAI resigns by 2024
37
Ṁ3.9KṀ690
Jan 1
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ42 +325.8%
New probability
24% +1.0%
Resolves Yes if all members have resigned by Jan 1st 2024 GMT
Get Ṁ500 play money
Related questions
Sort by:

Blomfilterbought Ṁ50 of NO
no, because the newboard still has adam d'angelo on it
https://twitter.com/OpenAI/status/1727206187077370115

Danbought Ṁ10 of YES
@Blomfilter You're betting on the appointed new board either including d'angelo or not doing it before 2024.


Michael Trazzibought Ṁ70 of YES
Context: 650/770 employees signed a letter saying they would join Microsoft if the board doesn't resign and appoint two independent board members, and re-hire Sam & Greg https://x.com/lilianweng/status/1726634736943280270
Related questions
Sam Altman will return to OpenAI by the end of Nov 2023
J
Will Sam Altman return to being the CEO of OpenAI before the end of November, 2023?
firstuserhere
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI on January 1st 2024?
Milan W
Who will be on OpenAI's board of directors on 1 Jan 2024?

cshunter
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end? (8000M subsidy)
firstuserhere
Will https://openai.com post another page refering to a change in leadership in some way by the end of November 2023?
firstuserhere
Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI?

notarealuser
Will OpenAI report an incident on November 29 2023?
mr_mino
In a year, will we think that Sam Altman leaving OpenAI reduced AI risk?
Jonas Vollmer
Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI by January 1, 2024?
Carter Hinsley
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?

Andrew Bocz
Who will still be working at OpenAI on December 1, 2023? [independent, YES/NO on each]

Ernie
Who will be the next permanent CEO of OpenAI?

Eli Lifland
Is the OpenAI Crisis over (for the month?)

Ernie
Will OpenAI be valued more than $75 billion before the end of 2023?
Samuel
Will the OpenAI board release a report documenting the reasons or evidence for why they fired Sam Altman, by Christmas?
firstuserhere
Will at least one OpenAI employee say this week that they have seen Sam Altman in the office doing things?

ClubmasterTransparent
By when will OpenAI have a new permanent CEO?

Dan
[Metaculus] Will the majority of OpenAI's Board of Directors leave the Board before December 1, 2023?

Mirror BotBot
9) DeepMind, Google Brain, and/or OpenAI will undertake efforts to build a foundation model for robotics.

Matt C. Wilson