Will Anne Hidalgo dive / jump / swim in the Seine on June 23rd ?
Basic
14
Ṁ7.7kJun 25
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.lebonbon.fr/paris/current-events/now-we-know-the-date-for-anne-hidalgos-en/
Sorry, I couldn't find a good news article in English so I took whatever I found.
Anne Hidalgo (mayor of Paris) is reportedly planning to dive in the Seine river on June 23rd, 2024. This market resolves YES if and only if this happens on the planned date. There won't be technicalities about the exact way she enters the water, as long as she goes into the water. "On June 23rd" is according to Paris time.
As usual, feel free to ask questions.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will any event of the Paris 2024 Olympic Games be postponed or cancelled due to the water quality of the Seine?
57% chance
Will the open water swimming events be able to take place in the Seine river for the Paris 2024 Olympic Games?
46% chance
During the 2024 Summer Olympics, will someone mistakenly travel to France for the surfing events?
41% chance
[Metaculus] Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics?
31% chance
Will the 2024 Olympics take place in Paris, as planned?
98% chance
Who will dive / jump / swim in the Seine before Paris Olympis 2024 ?
Will Macron swim in the Seine river before September 1st, 2024?
52% chance
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
36% chance
Will the Paris Olympics opening ceremony take place on the Seine river per the initial plan?
64% chance