Will Meta Horizon Worlds report more than 500,000 active users for any month of 2023?
15
123
310
2025
3%
chance

From https://metaculus.com//questions/15576/meta-horizon-worlds--500k-active-users/ In 2022, Meta's virtual reality platform for the Meta Quest Headset, [Horizon Worlds](https://www.meta.com/gb/horizon-worlds/), faced difficulties [attracting and retaining users](https://www.theverge.com/2022/10/15/23405811/meta-horizon-worlds-losing-users-report). According to [internal documents obtained by the *Wall Streat Journal*](https://www.wsj.com/articles/meta-metaverse-horizon-worlds-zuckerberg-facebook-internal-documents-11665778961?mod=djemalertNEWS), the platform's monthly active users dropped from 300,000 in February 2022 to around 200,000. Meta then reduced its goal for the end of 2022 from 500,000 to 280,000 monthly active users. [The *Journal*](https://www.wsj.com/articles/meta-metaverse-horizon-worlds-zuckerberg-facebook-internal-documents-11665778961?mod=djemalertNEWS) also reported that only 9% of the 10,000 separate worlds in Horizon Worlds are visited by more than 50 users, and most users don't return after their first month on the platform. Meta is focusing on a multiyear effort to improve its metaverse plans and address the platform's issues. Horizon World’s growth in users for 2023 is highly uncertain, with [Meta’s several rounds of layoffs](https://www.forbes.com/sites/brianbushard/2023/03/13/2023-layoff-tracker-meta-planning-another-large-round-of-cuts-this-week-report-says/?sh=4907f544760b), Meta’s [move towards AI](https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/15/tech/meta-ai-investment-priority/index.html), and general [scepticism towards the metaverse](https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/retail/our-insights/probing-reality-and-myth-in-the-metaverse). ***Will Meta Horizon Worlds report more than 500,000 active users for any month of 2023?*** This question resolves as **Yes** if the number of monthly active users for Meta's Horizon Worlds for any month of 2023 exceeds 500,000. The resolution sources for this question are [Statista](https://www.statista.com/statistics/1362347/meta-horizon-worlds-users/) as well as official announcements by [Meta](https://investor.fb.com/home/default.aspx), though other reputable sources may be relied upon as well. Because of the anticipated lag of the publication of these data, this question resolves at the end of 2024 (unless data leading to a positive resolution is released prior). If neither Statista nor Meta provide any data for any month of 2023 before 2025, this question resolves ambiguously. If they report data for at least one month of 2023 by the end of 2024, this question resolves either positively or negatively. If Horizon Worlds is discontinued, this question resolves as **No**.

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