How many military equipment losses will Ukraine incur between July 24th and August 21st?
4
1
resolved Aug 23
15%
100
0.0%
0
50%
200
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10770/how-much-military-equipment-losses-will-oryx-report-for-ukraine-in-2022/ Quick link to spreadsheet for resolution ("Original" sheet): https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1bngHbR0YPS7XH1oSA1VxoL4R34z60SJcR3NxguZM9GI/edit#gid=0 Calculated as value for column "Ukraine_Total", row for the end date minus the value in the row for the start date in the same column. For example, if the "Ukraine_Total" value for 2022-08-21 is 4500 and the value for 2022-07-24 is 3500, this market resolves to "1,000". This market will resolve rounded to the nearest 100, so acceptable answers are "0", "100", "200", "1,000", "1,100", etc. See the Metaculus Bot profile for similar markets for other time periods, and for Russia losses.
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Currently at 145, if the next 2 days see >4 losses it will be 200.