See here for current status: https://www.cornelwest2024.com/petitioning_launch
The outcome will be selected based on whether West's name is actually on the ballot, per the state Secretary of State. The market will resolve to yes if his name is printed on the ballot, regardless of which party or affiliation it's under.
1,000
3.00A presidential candidate without political party affiliation must submit a qualifying petition bearing a sufficient number of valid signatures, the name and address of his or her running mate, and the names, and addresses of his or her presidential electors. The qualifying petition must be filed no later than 4:00 p.m. on July 18, 2024. MCL 168.590c.
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The minimum number of valid signatures required on the qualifying petition is 12,000; up to 60,000 signatures can be submitted to cover the minimum number of valid signatures required. MCL 168.544f. See Ballot Access Information for Presidential Candidates | 5 November 2023 Michigan Department of State Graveline v. Benson, 430 F. Supp. 3d 297 (E.D. Mich. 2019). Of the signatures submitted on the petition, there must be at least 100 signatures from each of at least ½ of the congressional districts in the state. MCL 168.590b.