Will I appear on the author list of an article published in a scientific journal before 2024?
68
652
1.3K
resolved Nov 6
Resolved
YES

I am doing research on biosecurity and UVC air disinfection, which I will try to publish. I have never authored any scientific publication before.

I don't need to be the first author for this to resolve positively. Any position on the author list counts. It also doesn't matter what kind of article it is. The date for this to resolve YES is the article's publication date. Otherwise, the date for this to resolve NO is on the 1st of January 2024.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ2,186
2Ṁ180
3Ṁ151
4Ṁ97
5Ṁ94
Sort by:
predicted NO

God damn

predicted YES
predicted YES

We received reviewer comments and they look fairly benign. Will probably take until end of next week to address them and then another few weeks until final acceptance and online publication.

predicted YES

forgot to update immediately but we submitted the article about 10 days ago! I am relatively confident that it should get through peer review and will be published this year, unless we get quite unlucky

bought Ṁ500 of YES

We haven’t submitted yet but the article is pretty much done. Looking to submit in the next weeks. Then it will be a bet on how long peer review takes.

bought Ṁ45 of NO

Have you submitted your work yet?

predicted YES

@B Nope not yet

predicted NO

@MaxG i don't doubt your ability and wouldn't bet against if the deadline was end of 2024. In my experience publishing takes time.

predicted YES

@B Yea for sure, in large parts I am betting up Yes to provide an additional incentive for myself to speed up :)

bought Ṁ50 of NO

Peer Review is a pain, leaning no

bought Ṁ30 of YES

People are very negative here, I'm sure you'll be able to do it without much trouble, if you apply yourself and don't piss off your superiors :D

predicted YES

Are you affiliated with people who have published in journals before? For example: are you at a university? Are you working with people who are? Is there a lab you're working with? Or are you doing this work alone?

If you want to see your work published, it will help you tremendously to have contacts "in the system" who know how these things work.

bought Ṁ20 of YES

@Boklam Nevermind, I just found your website and CV. I see you're a medical student.

I might be misunderstanding, but it still sounds like you are trying to do this without much support...

bought Ṁ50 of YES

@Boklam It is mostly independent work, but I am in touch with people who can give me mentorship and are knowledgeable about the publication process.

bought Ṁ50 of NO

I'm sure you'll do great research, but the review process delays are an important factor... also I'd like to you to prove me wrong so you should place some yes bets as an extra incentive!

@finnhambly Fair points. I think my own best guess is something like 20-30% right now. So I will wait until the market drops lower and then buy YES bets.

Will I appear on the author list of an article published in a scientific journal before 2024?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition