
Will google Bard accurately sum 10 integers on July 1?
11
230Ṁ2235resolved Jul 2
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will use python to generate 10 integers between zero and 100, then get their sum. I will then ask Google Bard "Sum the following numbers: 12, 34, ..." and "what is 12 + 34 + ..."
The question resolves YES if both provide the correct answer. May resolve a day or two later if life happens.
This is also a trial run of using manifold to design experiments. If the probability is above 95% or below 5%, I will consider the informational benefit of the experiment insufficient, and resolve NA. I will also gratefully accept suggestions for how to refine the protocol above. If you point out something that moves the probability in your favor, congratulations on a well deserved reward for advancing human knowledge!

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ22 | |
2 | Ṁ13 | |
3 | Ṁ9 | |
4 | Ṁ9 | |
5 | Ṁ4 |