Will a mod say @Yev logged in from the same IP address as the creator of this market: https://manifold.markets/Yev/conditional-on-this-market-having-a ?

5

8

Ṁ583

Ṁ300

resolved Sep 26

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

There was suspicious activity on https://manifold.markets/Yev/conditional-on-this-market-having-a.

After the market's condition was already satisfied and the market was guaranteed to resolve YES, @Yev bought M$4000 YES, and the market was hastily resolved in the middle of the night.

Additionally, there was M$415 that appeared to go missing from that market.

This market resolves YES if a mod says @Yev had the same IP address as that market's creator in the comments on this market.
This market resolves NO if that doesn't happen by 11:59 p.m. on 9/25/2022.

Get Ṁ200 play money

Related questions

Will Manifold allow market creators to noticeably prohibit themselves from trading on their own markets?

If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?

Will @ESYudkowsky follow @manifoldmarkets on Twitter before @mealreplacer?

Will Manifold users stop requesting changes to Manifold.markets by way of market creation by 2026?

Will Manifold create functionality for market creators to pin key markets on their profile?

When will manifold do/have done anything about market creators betting on their own markets?

Will Manifold encourage or force users to resolve markets before deleting their account?

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ131
2		Ṁ4

Sort by:

bought Ṁ20 of YES

@Austin do you want some easy mana for yourself or 9th?

predicted NO

@Yev @Austin Even easier mana is buying NO and doing nothing :)

bought Ṁ10 of NO

predicted YES

@MatthewMorgan But there is less mana to be made that way.

predicted YES

I was wrong. I didn't realize you lowered the p with your subsidy.

:D

Related in Manifold

🔥CoolFold Self Immolation: How many users will burn all their mana balance to protest the pivot? [SACRIFICE YOURSELF]

If Manifold Markets were to shut down unless you bought 20$ worth of Mana with real money, would you buy it to save it?

+13% 1d36% chance

See more Manifold questions

More related questions

Will Manifold allow market creators to noticeably prohibit themselves from trading on their own markets?

If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?

Will @ESYudkowsky follow @manifoldmarkets on Twitter before @mealreplacer?

Will Manifold users stop requesting changes to Manifold.markets by way of market creation by 2026?

Will Manifold create functionality for market creators to pin key markets on their profile?

-8% 1d49% chance

When will manifold do/have done anything about market creators betting on their own markets?

Will Manifold encourage or force users to resolve markets before deleting their account?

Manifold questions

🔥CoolFold Self Immolation: How many users will burn all their mana balance to protest the pivot? [SACRIFICE YOURSELF]

If Manifold Markets were to shut down unless you bought 20$ worth of Mana with real money, would you buy it to save it?

Related questions

Will Manifold allow market creators to noticeably prohibit themselves from trading on their own markets?

Will Manifold create functionality for market creators to pin key markets on their profile?

If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?

When will manifold do/have done anything about market creators betting on their own markets?

Will @ESYudkowsky follow @manifoldmarkets on Twitter before @mealreplacer?

Will Manifold encourage or force users to resolve markets before deleting their account?

Will Manifold users stop requesting changes to Manifold.markets by way of market creation by 2026?