Will Florence Pugh in 2023?
3
110Ṁ278
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES

Resolves yes if there's strong evidence that Florence Pugh does a #2 in 2023.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ40
2Ṁ5
3Ṁ4
Sort by:

Will common-sense indirect evidence (of the form 'everyone poops') be accepted for this question?

@AngolaMaldives In this case, yes, but someone will have to make the argument for it. E.g. <0.01% of people have a condition where they don’t Pugh, the odds are so low that this famous, healthy individual has that condition as to be essentially 0%.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules