Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will I make any new close friends at the Passage Press event in Chicago Sept. 26?
3
Ṁ1kṀ200
resolved Oct 2
Resolved
NO

The event: https://passage.press/products/steve-sailer-in-chicago-salon-event

A close friend: I have only a few people I consider close friends. These are people I talk to on discord a lot, have a phone number of, and would consider traveling with or have traveled with.

Here are the close friends I have made in the last four years:

I made one new close friend recently at Manifest.

Another close friend I made was from a philosophy meetup in SF.

A third I made at a hackathon at MIT.

A fourth I made at a Crypto hackathon in Chiang Mai.

My thesis is that I will not make a new close friend, because aside from Nick Land stuff, Passage Press seems to be more focused on economics than technology. Most of my friends are into technology and a bit of philosophy. Though all of them are also knowledgeable about history and economics, I think the venue being in Chicago as well implies it is going to be a less tech heavy crowd.

That said, I do have a lot of overlapping interests with the brash free speech say what you want "Out of the Longhouse" conservative/rw crowd. My theory is that they will be too partisan for me and not technologically/scientifically rigorous enough though to really be my new close friends. Interesting datapoint to consider on that topic is that I attend AI conferences as so far have only ever made one close friend from those. So maybe purely technical crowds aren't my thing either.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ84
2Ṁ48