Market Description:
This market allows participants to bet which former winners of the Forbes 30 Under 30 list will be convicted of a crime before the resolution date. Participants can add their own candidates to the list, provided they have been featured on a Forbes 30 Under 30 list prior to their conviction.

Notable Convicted Candidates:

• Elizabeth Holmes

  • Year: 2015

  • Category: Healthcare

  • Conviction: Fraud

• Martin Shkreli

  • Year: 2013

  • Category: Finance

  • Conviction: Securities fraud

• Sam Bankman-Fried

  • Year: 2021

  • Category: Finance

  • Conviction: Fraud (as of October 2023)

Market Conditions:

1. The market will resolve on January 1, 2027.

2. Only convictions occurring before the resolution date will be considered.

3. Participants can add candidates who have appeared on a Forbes 30 Under 30 list.

4. Convictions must be for criminal offenses, excluding civil violations.

Additional Context:
While most former winners are not involved in criminal activities, notable individuals currently facing legal issues include:

• Charlie Javice (2019, Finance): Awaiting trial for fraud charges.

• Caroline Ellison (2022, Finance): Pleaded guilty to fraud charges and is awaiting sentencing.

I have added some top recent ones from Healthcare and Finance categories since those are who have historically been convicted.

People who won together count as a group, and if any of them are convicted, it counts as a Yes for that group. You can not add an option bundling people who did not win together.

https://www.forbes.com/30-under-30/2023/finance

https://www.forbes.com/30-under-30/2024/finance

https://www.forbes.com/30-under-30/2023/healthcare

https://www.forbes.com/30-under-30/2024/healthcare