Will Jimmy Carter be alive when this market rolls a critical hit? [Round 2]
➕
Plus
105
Ṁ45k
Dec 27
63%
chance

This market resolves No when Jimmy Carter dies. Until then, every Friday I will ask @FairlyRandom to roll a D20. If the result is 20, this market resolves Yes.

This is the second iteration of this market. The first time, the market resolved Yes in its second week.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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I'll keep increasing my stake each week. Known winning strategy with a glaring weak spot ;->

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@MartyDettmann your random number is: 9

Salt: fw39sx416w5, round: 4642949 (signature 8f251cf9810629c9126e9b18a0c0e235204c5136cc143d87fdead20334ae904beebd7a7134a2b12812ca9cf0c1e440eb07ed4d1d559c3809e74cb4f4d3963ffc16dd16554ae4f36e06c9509bd39dde9002abf288816b9f3fc30c98a29685c704)

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@MartyDettmann you asked for a random integer between 1 and 20, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4642947 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4642949, salt: fw39sx416w5.

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@MartyDettmann your random number is: 17

Salt: 6klcae0mqhl, round: 4623533 (signature b6530b130edd2f8b669476f964a46ce41c447b9865dbac6cfc08a1a317ca55f061e7973f03550195a31d0fd080bdaea21946d9d154c40dfb434c9eb334a3a0859a94f44900ae513e501957409b7ef7cdbbfe654318cfbd08b513d0a0f7c9fb8e)

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@MartyDettmann you asked for a random integer between 1 and 20, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4623531 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4623533, salt: 6klcae0mqhl.

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@MartyDettmann your random number is: 13

Salt: lhd545uo94i, round: 4602723 (signature 914e70c42c2aac7b0e4a026504bb8d40769968d4a9dbdd2f302303496ae2439381f6b3552715c34aee11656edd49ef14198eb95c522ef57ae164a7f3d5be0f3f40a2400f4f2e162a3f692e8152c3f5f5028b01548a34b087689a8065b1da5bb1)

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@MartyDettmann you asked for a random integer between 1 and 20, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4602721 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4602723, salt: lhd545uo94i.

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@MartyDettmann your random number is: 15

Salt: 83zrzn1x9dn, round: 4584712 (signature 86eb0461a5fce9a6a47b734ecc2a4f031d3f51e03b046701cc2940b82ee97b5094713b0e268a7e887223048ad8b282f80ee11c57f3e69d4ee52f7576930c9f95e5a8e18d33e48fbee63d23e7a69081afe41439940dc5e8b0958eaedaa1fd7f1e)

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@MartyDettmann you asked for a random integer between 1 and 20, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4584710 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4584712, salt: 83zrzn1x9dn.

It seems like somebody correctly Bayes'd this market out against the Jimmy Carter Death Markets for 2024. There is no arbitrage to be made here today.

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@MartyDettmann your random number is: 15

Salt: toeav1gvnj, round: 4562258 (signature 819122dd8e0b14de350a65e35c1b5908b1eff4ad106a3c34517cd022dc4b28293937446f4dc9498648fee498b140c666064e83346d03516d7f95db3f94d614517e63d77b233b4781bd0517d789f309fca805c7ef43ea8322528d0556ce8ab430)

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@MartyDettmann you asked for a random integer between 1 and 20, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4562256 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4562258, salt: toeav1gvnj.

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@MartyDettmann your random number is: 18

Salt: pqt98yl1oe, round: 4542106 (signature a64fd17e1d79388ff8b91c672df8419356638f9efa165fa3a3ac77dad3c40970f56cd975104e54a226f0d646efa45cad047f4e6b9847c5990289298d428615e602a99e70fb1c1d175117c42f60c196537cc66fa04f267a2837110e19cfb21482)

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@MartyDettmann you asked for a random integer between 1 and 20, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4542104 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4542106, salt: pqt98yl1oe.

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@MartyDettmann your random number is: 7

Salt: jlv5pz944il, round: 4521982 (signature 82a56d4352c394f7b1396fa1c18d60a1a42b2c3e2c5bb7786f1a923d7d452e094bee23d0768561cb5c8723aee3c9487a0d80f6fbc64f20f75589eaa929ba548cf54e066cb84a98fa44d3161533334a15c40b1934a51a733a02cadd7907bbadff)

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@MartyDettmann you asked for a random integer between 1 and 20, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4521980 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4521982, salt: jlv5pz944il.

@FairlyRandom 20

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@MartyDettmann your random number is: 4

Salt: tiq20j0w15i, round: 4505802 (signature 8b1dfe7a07d0098d5bebedceede870c04b37c65a896a5b07c655f0ab58ae0f34fecc92f67981e1df6158f6f33cfa351a075638cd57d5f03475a6ec0d1470d5ac36aa724aefb2225d6cf1631874baaedaa15703ad8921f2d0d22472ccac084c2b)

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@MartyDettmann you asked for a random integer between 1 and 20, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4505800 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4505802, salt: tiq20j0w15i.

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