Total value of crypto stolen/scammed throughout 2024 as tracked by Molly White/W3IGG

220Ṁ756

resolved Jan 2

ALL

100%96%

Less than $5 billion

1.8%

$5 billion - $10 billion

1.3%

$10 billion - $20 billion

0.8%

$20 billion or more

The grift counter at https://web3isgoinggreat.com/ tracks the rough USD equivalent of value lost to major crypto scams/hacks/fraud. As of Dec 15th 2024, it is at USD 71.676 billion. With USD 8.3 billion tracked in 2021, USD 53.8 billion tracked in 2022 (40 billion of those attributed to the Terra/Luna collapse) and 9.4 billion tracked in 2023 up to Dec 15th.

The question resolves based on the total sum recorded at the leaderboard at https://web3isgoinggreat.com/charts/top for the year of 2024. The close date is delibrately slightly befor EOY to avoid the least interesting sniping.

If the website ceases to be regularly updated, any options fully below the tracked value will be resolved as NO and the rest as NA.

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#	Name	Total profit
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2		Ṁ50
3		Ṁ3
4		Ṁ2
5		Ṁ0

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5mo

And the final value is USD 3.6 billion https://www.web3isgoinggreat.com/charts/top?dateRange=2024

9mo

As of Aug 28th, we have USD 3.09 billion

As of June 2nd, we have USD 1.48 billíon https://www.web3isgoinggreat.com/charts/top?dateRange=2024

Market for current month:

As of today, we are at USD 835 million https://www.web3isgoinggreat.com/charts/top?dateRange=2024
A market for the currrent month:

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US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028

43% chance

What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

Why use play money?

Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.

🏅 Top traders

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