Will a robot kill someone in 2023?
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250
Jan 1
24%
chance

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bought Ṁ10 of YES

What is the definition of "robot" here? In a broad sense, factory automation unfortunately kills people quite frequently and already has done so in 2023, just in US https://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/nation-world/national/article272930190.html (we can safely presume similar accidents are even more frequent in non-English-speaking countries)

predicts NO

@MartinModrak Jacys definition

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@MarkIngraham So the link I posted should warrant positive resolution? Or would there be an implicit limit to accidents after market creation, but an accident like the one I posted would count?

predicts NO

@MartinModrak jacys post

predicts NO

@MartinModrak has to be after the question

predicts YES

@MarkIngraham Sorryif I am a bit dense, but does that mean you would only count accidents that can be found in OSHA and thus limit to work-related accidents AND the US?

predicts NO

@MartinModrak yes and after the question

predicts YES

@MarkIngraham Then I suggest ti edit the question title to mention "OSHA" and/or "workplace " and "US" - this has a huge effect on the probability. Also please clarify how are you going to handle resolution in light of the time lag between accident and entry into OSHA database.

predicts NO

@MartinModrak any ambiguity is NO

sold Ṁ90 of YES

@MarkIngraham OK, I get the message, won't trade here.

predicts NO

@MartinModrak I'm sorry but it's how it is.

predicts NO

@MartinModrak just to explain to the other users, I intend to keep the question open until late 2024 if there are plausible reasons the reporting delay is a factor

For context, here are deaths recorded by OSHA with the keyword "robot": https://www.osha.gov/ords/imis/AccidentSearch.search?acc_keyword=%22Robot%22&keyword_list=on&Fatal=fatal

In the past decade, there were 2 in 2021, 2 in 2019, and 2 in 2013.