Will the extent of Antarctic sea ice for every day in December 2023 be the lowest in recorded history?
11
230Ṁ52kresolved Dec 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question resolves based on the Antarctic Sea Ice Extent reported by the National Snow & Ice Data Center.
The question resolves Yes if the Antarctic Sea Ice Extent is less on every single day from December 1st, 2023 to December 31st, 2023 compared to the same dates in all years since satellite tracking started in 1979.
The question immediately resolves No if the extent of Antarctic Sea Ice for any date between December 1, 2023 and December 31, 2023 exceeds the extent for the same day in any year between 1979 and 2022.
Fine Print
Forecasters exploring the data from the resolution source should be sure to switch the sea ice extent to "Antarctic."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ90 | |
| 2 | Ṁ59 | |
| 3 | Ṁ49 | |
| 4 | Ṁ47 | |
| 5 | Ṁ21 |
People are also trading
Related questions
When will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?
25% chance
Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?
15% chance
When will the Antarctic sea ice extent fall below 1 million square kilometers for the first time?
Minimum Antarctic sea ice extent this century? (in square kilometers)
920k
Will scientists find a continuous, million-year ice core in Antarctica by 2028?
77% chance
Will December 2024 be the hottest December on record in the US?
15% chance
Will the ice caps be bigger in July 2024 than July 2023?
6% chance
Will a previously unknown civilization be discovered in Antarctica by 2027?
5% chance