This is a market on how much 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28814949 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 13 - October 15) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' (2023) grosses more than $100,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by October 23, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,827 | |
| 2 | Ṁ328 | |
| 3 | Ṁ143 | |
| 4 | Ṁ105 | |
| 5 | Ṁ32 |
Estimates right now seem to be at 95-97m, but there's enough inaccuracy with this sort of thing that I think 100m is higher than 6% chance. Lets see if the after-church crowd turns out for Taylor today.
Still though I feel dumb for buying this at 90%! Yeesh.