This market resolves to YES if Robert Menendez announces his resignation from the US Senate before market close at the end of July 2024. Otherwise this market resolves NO.
If he is expelled from Congress, dies, or leaves Congress for any reason other than resignation, this market immediately resolves NO.
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this totally reads like it means he actually resigns his office before august, im calling @mods ?
> This market resolves to YES if Robert Menendez announces his resignation from the US Senate before market close at the end of July 2024.
"announces his resignation" "before market close at the end of July" - what's the mixup?
it can be read as:
announces his (resignation from the senate before market close)
vs
announces his resignation, BEFORE market close
Why, whatever do you mean, Chris? There was an entire one minute and three seconds between the the posting of this clarification (without the @traders alert) and the "Manifold Politics bought แน25,000 YES from 26% to 70%" trade. How could anyone consider that anything less than completely fair play by the creator/trader/resolver?
But I'll reiterate that it is the standard meaning of "resign" in prediction markets to count the announcement of the resignation. Further examples:
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F2CXX43uqUM.png?alt=media&token=d1838cd1-4a03-4e5f-bb96-8f71d83f4fee)
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F75Z6Vn1kCM.png?alt=media&token=84e13c0c-1d5b-455c-9f50-e991b5e23cea)
For markets without any specification like this one by a banned user, I believe the standard would be to resolve based on the announcement.
But I agree it's easy to misread, and these markets should all have "announce" in the title. I intend to include that for any future markets like this.
(edit: tweet deleted maybe)
This is what the tweet was about: