Will Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial conclude before Election Day 2024?
61
150
2.1k
Nov 6
96%
chance

The Trial's start date has been set for April 15th

The presumptive Republican presidential nominee is facing 34 felony counts of falsifying New York business records in order to cover up a $130,000 hush money payment to adult film actress Stormy Daniels, who has said she had a sexual encounter with Trump. Trump has denied that claim.

This market resolves YES if the trial is concluded before November 5th. This might happen when the jury reaches a verdict, or if a plea deal is reached, or if the charges are dropped. The trial does not include sentencing or appeals, which may occur after election day without changing this market's resolution.

If the trial is not concluded by election day, this market resolves to NO.

The specifics of these resolution criteria may be updated to better match the spirit of the question. Please a comment if you have any suggestions.

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