Welcome to the Trump VP Announcement Market!

Manifold will live-stream this event with this market, whenever it happens.

This market will resolve based on the first full campaign event that Donald Trump holds to introduce his running mate in the 2024 election. Previous events of this nature:

• Biden and Harris

• Trump and Pence

• Clinton and Kaine

• Obama and Biden

• McCain and Palin

This doesn't count anything like an edited announcement video, it has to be a live event where he introduces his running mate in front of the press. If no such event takes place, this market will be cancelled.

Submission guidelines:

• Make your submissions as clear and objective as possible. The criteria should be easy to understand without reading any comments or relying on anyone's opinion.

• Please do not submit answers that require counting multiple instances of something occurring, or anything else that is difficult to keep track of.

• Be clear when a submission is about a person saying exact words, and use quotation marks around those words to indicate this. If the bet is about whether or not a general subject is raised, make this clear by using the phrase "says anything about X".

• Submissions should be about what will happen at the event itself, not the general question of who the VP will be or when they will be announced. We have other markets for those those questions.

• I will close submissions before the market fills up so that there will be room for more submissions when the event is closer and we know more about what might come up. Everyone will get a chance to submit a second answer when submissions re-open.

The market close time will be adjusted as necessary to close after the event is over.