If Harris becomes President, will gas prices stay under four dollars a gallon until the midterms?
0
2026
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on the national monthly average gas price, which is currently $3.33 as of market creation. This average has only ever been over $4/gallon in March-August of 2021 and June of 2008.
If Kamala Harris is not elected president, this market resolves N/A. If she is elected president, this market resolves YES if average gas prices stay under $4 a gallon between January 2025 and November 2026 and NO if they do not.
Update: We may close this market temporarily around election day to prevent manipulation.
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