Will Manifold launch a crypto token before April?
Basic
78
Ṁ20kresolved Apr 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves true if Manifold Markets (or some affiliated company or organization) releases a crypto token on mainnet by April 1, 2022.
#ManifoldMarkets #crypto
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
I did a crypto version of MM as a hobby project. My feeling is you lose a lot because of the waiting period for confirmations vs. the immediacy of a central solution.
If real money or real money proxies are at stake people will rug pull. I like the worthless token but karmic worth of $M on this platform. Once it is an ERC 20 token it will probably float somewhere and be convertible both ways for real dollars.
So I cannot see a crypto move unless I am missing something. But that doesn’t mean a token wont be produced to see where it goes. So I find this market hard to call.
I'm with Em here, please don't. If I wanted to gamble with "real" money, I'd use polymarket. I think this would negatively impact manifold markets reputation, even if it could possibly make a lot of money in the short term.
In addition you could achieve the same with a regular database and without blockchain. Manifold Markets is already centralized.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold raise another $1M USD in 2024?
24% chance
Will Manifold raise another $500K USD in 2024?
69% chance
Will Manifold raise a community round by the end of 2024?
8% chance
How will Manifold monetize its business, at the end of 2024?
If Manifold announces real money trading as part of their upcoming pivot, what will be true about it when it launches?
Will Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?
13% chance
Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?
69% chance
Will Manifold allow buying in Mana with crypto payment before the end of 2024?
13% chance
Elon Musk publicly mentions or responds related to Manifold again by mid 2025
68% chance
Will Manifold allow buying in Mana with crypto payment before the end of 2025?
15% chance