#Omicron is importantly less virulent than Delta

#ZviOnOmicron https://thezvi.substack.com/p/omicron-post-7 The data from Denmark and South Africa point in opposite directions here. Saying ‘oh well they cancel out’ is the coward’s way out for sure, but until I have more time to process that’s where I am at. I’ll probably update at some point soon off no new information when I decide what it all means. Dec 20, 5:37pm: https://thezvi.wordpress.com/2021/12/20/omicron-post-8 I do think that the evidence this past few days was modestly in favor of similar virulence to Delta, but I did not find it conclusive or especially strong. #Covid Jan 12, 4:04pm: We are going to resolve this early to YES. We think Zvi means 'less severe' when he writes 'less virulent' and there is substantial evidence for that. Zvi: "Time keeps passing and we keep seeing the same patterns, I think we can safely say that it’s importantly less virulent." https://thezvi.wordpress.com/2022/01/07/omicron-post-13-outlook/ However, this question could be phrased in a clearer way, and we don't want to confuse our users. Note that this is one of the first markets we created back when this site was only a prototype.

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