Resolution criteria

• This market will resolve to the national team among the listed choices that has the highest rank in the official FIFA Men's World Ranking published on June 11, 2026 and fails to qualify for the knockout stage (Round of 32) of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

• The official FIFA Men's World Ranking published on June 11, 2026, immediately prior to the tournament, will be the sole source of truth. The ranking order of the 17 listed options on that date is as follows:

  1. Argentina (1st overall)

  2. Spain (2nd overall)

  3. France (3rd overall)

  4. England (4th overall)

  5. Portugal (5th overall)

  6. Brazil (6th overall)

  7. Morocco (7th overall)

  8. Netherlands (8th overall)

  9. Belgium (9th overall)

  10. Germany (10th overall)

  11. Croatia (11th overall)

  12. Colombia (13th overall)

  13. Mexico (14th overall)

  14. Uruguay (16th overall)

  15. USA (17th overall)

  16. Japan (18th overall)

  17. Switzerland (19th overall)

• "Fails to qualify for the knockout stage" means the team is eliminated during the group stage of the tournament and does not progress to the Round of 32.

• If all 17 listed teams successfully qualify for the knockout stage, all options resolve to No.

• If there is any dispute or change to the official standings, the final group tables as verified by FIFA's official website will be used.