World flipping market is a market that had at most 10% probability and then suddenly closed YES or had a 90%+ probability and then suddenly settled NO.
I won't accept meta markets and reflexive markets.
The markets need to have at least 15 traders
I expect that as time goes by, traders here will keep us updated.
During the last week of 2022, I created 4 markets of a single world flipping market. At certain points, we had two world-flipping events per day. The distribution is quite possibly lower in other points of the year.
Related questions
Are you asking about market creators that defraud their traders by misleading them and then resolving with a "gotcha" moment
- OR -
Are you asking about markets that have long odds which legitimately pan out like a lame horse with 400 to 1 odds actually winning a race?
Im a little unclear: do the markets need to have a sustained period at the low number? Because otherwise, I feel like this question actually comes down to "will there be lots of active sports markets," and I think there will be.
https://manifold.markets/AlexLiesman/will-brighton-defeat-manchester-uni