🟢🔴 Polya urn game: Will a green ball be drawn on ... ?

Fun FairlyRandom Experimental Gambling

Mini

Ṁ461

Jul 14

ALL

15%

July 8

17%

July 9

Starting July 3 with an urn containing one green ball and one red ball, I will use @FairlyRandom to draw one ball uniformly at random from the urn. If it is green (1), "July 3" will resolve as YES, if it is red (2), "July 3" will resolve as NO. The ball is then returned in the urn, and an additional ball of the same color is added to the urn. So, on July 4, there are three balls in the urn, and so on.

Resolution criteria so far:

1: green - YES

2: red - NO

3: red - NO

4: red - NO

5: red - NO

6: red - NO
7: red - NO
8: [color of the ball drawn on July 8]

9: [color of the ball drawn on July 9]

I will aim to resolve each option between 11:00 UTC and 21:00 UTC on the specified day. I might run some tests and will give a heads-up in the comments.

Get Ṁ600 play money

23 Comments

4 Holders

65 Trades

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🤖

@ML12d1 your random number is: 6

Salt: jhvp7kjkmk, round: 4164012 (signature 8f56cd09e0910016af2ce6209580deff057358317a65bc22531d857abe3ee01fd569145f91091d9d588010afcb10416e091e0ced7d877ad2abe9954acbaae9e3467b787310c7166b5207d9b735f1087da61da8cf55d35a81a2dcbc89c6996fb5)

🤖

@ML12d1 you asked for a random integer between 1 and 6, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4164010 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4164012, salt: jhvp7kjkmk.

opened a Ṁ1 July 7 NO at 17% order

@FairlyRandom 6

🤖

@ML12d1 your random number is: 2

Salt: gpia2pkzag, round: 4164004 (signature 8310ebba52c8e253226391e7f1aa20f4445da77a227562f192d94c5fe63e3acbb1ab09ca8e626c7c7fe4986717194d74179a9d99e51ca4d2d315c0d5f1869cdad7bf128b69bbd28027763907c06978d4c0dc0c6c0e5631299bb10a0eada96b31)

🤖

@ML12d1 you asked for a random integer between 1 and 2, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4164002 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4164004, salt: gpia2pkzag.

@FairlyRandom 2

Heads up: The next one is also a test run and will not count.

🤖

Not a valid request: Max <= min is not allowed

@FairlyRandom 1

Heads-up: The next one is a test run and does not count.

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@ML12d1 your random number is: 4

Salt: v8nl198efhh, round: 4161650 (signature 815d0792c60957f13e47b53740c75c92ae398108d98a2da5809b12346bf973a3bcb8ca50012ca36cfcf85db6d624425b0cc33b4b7e1cedee2ea8f59a411cb747a433b46258a9c403fe0c91f25d6b2fac5bb3213fedd59f6c6bcd4b11d7be8cce)

🤖

@ML12d1 you asked for a random integer between 1 and 5, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4161648 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4161650, salt: v8nl198efhh.

@FairlyRandom 5

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@ML12d1 your random number is: 2

Salt: 7pk9cr51h0f, round: 4158868 (signature 8905b39f7fb61a02647129fc4447e49d9035a9399a8f9186be6c18a38767a3a1a17c2f6d16d4f93850a833615b1c3f130b5e261af4f350c8ab77fa0192e471b5802aa9b2dc1c7e723172aedda114f40753a756d4c4329a8c58804ac811a39282)

🤖

@ML12d1 you asked for a random integer between 1 and 4, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4158866 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4158868, salt: 7pk9cr51h0f.

@FairlyRandom 4

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@ML12d1 your random number is: 2

Salt: edwdef7arwv, round: 4155357 (signature a36f45925ead3c724b1070ef59f06c6c9c2c63bfc8646c7bafd56858ac1f94d805fcc723526f1f0546d456ce14573dc41764f2aca27a4594acf1f0609b8e0ebb354ddefc8fc2dfc5ea53d221feb1ec2f96eda915920630d319f7d74b60054fb9)

🤖

@ML12d1 you asked for a random integer between 1 and 3, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4155355 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4155357, salt: edwdef7arwv.

@FairlyRandom 3

🤖

@ML12d1 your random number is: 2

Salt: exctz0m5lq, round: 4152807 (signature 9625522d449e548df1dade894eab36b1b5255cf6064ae9ecd1d80b99a544582225c55bd69c26936ed59286310b7ed910175b8d9b5099612e26252789b1a979eed89438d3a5b9c0cd6f9f14d23820fd4c40a675023195976d9c5b1812ac9fd05d)