Will the EU interest rate be above 3.3% at the end of 2023?
EconomicsEuropean UnionNew Year's Resolutions 2024
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YES

Resolves as YES if the deposit facility interest rate of the European Central Bank is higher than 3.3% at the end of 2023.

For context: this would be higher than any rate since 2001.

(Resolves to NO if the rate is exactely 3.3%; Resolves to YES if the Euro or the ECB cease to exist without a comparable successor)

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Same question for 2024: https://manifold.markets/MAcs19R1/will-the-eu-interest-rate-be-above-db6b7a65e3e1

Will the EU interest rate be above 3.3% at the end of 2024?
50% chance. Resolves as YES if the deposit facility interest rate of the European Central Bank is higher than 3.3% at the end of 2024. (Resolves to NO if the rate is exactely 3.3%; Resolves to YES if the Euro or the ECB cease to exist without a comparable successor)

Kinda followup:

If the Euro or the ECB cease to exist without a corresponding successor, the vote is YES.

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