Will the EU interest rate be above 3.3% at the end of 2023?
Will the EU interest rate be above 3.3% at the end of 2023?
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Ṁ3471resolved Jan 1
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YES1D
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Resolves as YES if the deposit facility interest rate of the European Central Bank is higher than 3.3% at the end of 2023.
For context: this would be higher than any rate since 2001.
(Resolves to NO if the rate is exactely 3.3%; Resolves to YES if the Euro or the ECB cease to exist without a comparable successor)
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predictedYES 1y
Same question for 2024: https://manifold.markets/MAcs19R1/will-the-eu-interest-rate-be-above-db6b7a65e3e1
If the Euro or the ECB cease to exist without a corresponding successor, the vote is YES.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
Learn more.1.00
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