Will the EU interest rate be above 3.3% at the end of 2023? | Manifold

Will the EU interest rate be above 3.3% at the end of 2023?

23

closes Dec 31

92%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves as YES if the deposit facility interest rate of the European Central Bank is higher than 3.3% at the end of 2023.

For context: this would be higher than any rate since 2001.

(Resolves to NO if the rate is exactely 3.3%; Resolves to YES if the Euro or the ECB cease to exist without a comparable successor)

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will there be another US Federal Reserve rate hike before the end of 2023?

39% chance

Will the bank of England base rate reach 5.5% anytime in 2023 (or higher)

59% chance

Will the fed funds rate peak above 5.5% in 2023?

38% chance

Will the Fed raise interest rates in the October-November 2023 meeting?

Chris Billington

26% chance

Will the Bank of England raise the UK's interest rate at their 2nd November meeting?

48% chance

Will FED pivot by Q3 2023?

0% chance

Will there be another interest rate hike in Canada in October?

71% chance

Will Bank of Japan's Benchmark Interest Rate be >= 0% by the end of Sep 2023?

13% chance

Will the fed raise interest rates again prior to 01/01/2024

38% chance

What will the November 2023 EE Bond rate be?

Your Treasury Direct

2.7

Will the European Central Bank raise the interest rates until the end of 2023?

42% chance

Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 1/1/2024 be 4.5% or higher?

Super Tax Genius

55% chance

Will the main interest rate (meginvextir) of the central bank of Iceland be higher than 8.75% at the end of 2023?

73% chance

What fixed rate will the US Treasury announce for Series I bonds on Nov 1, 2023?

Your Treasury Direct

0.94

Will the Federal Reserve engineer a soft landing?

24% chance

Will the next change to the fed funds rate be upward?

44% chance

Will Poland’s Monetary Policy Council increase the reference interest rate before 2024?

35% chance

Will the Russian Central Bank raise interest rates to or above 20% by EOY 2023?

19% chance

How much will the Fed change interest rates in the November meeting?

Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?

6% chance

Sort by:

If the Euro or the ECB cease to exist without a corresponding successor, the vote is YES.

Chris Billington bought Ṁ200 YES from 90% to 92%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ16/Ṁ100 NO at 90% (cancelled) 🤖

Chris Billington bought Ṁ400 YES from 86% to 92%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ54/Ṁ100 YES at 86% (cancelled) 🤖

Chris Billington bought Ṁ260 YES from 76% to 85%

Chris Billington bought Ṁ10 YES from 75% to 76%

N bought Ṁ25 YES from 74% to 75%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 NO at 74% (cancelled) 🤖

Marco Beyer bought Ṁ55 YES from 73% to 76%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 NO at 73% (cancelled) 🤖

Kamil Staszewski bought Ṁ60 YES from 70% to 74%

Daniel Pugh bought Ṁ20 YES from 69% to 70%

N bought Ṁ10 YES from 68% to 69%

Emilio bought Ṁ10 YES from 67% to 68%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 NO at 67% (cancelled) 🤖

bobzieh bought Ṁ50 YES from 63% to 68%

Jacob Mason-White bought Ṁ20 YES from 60% to 63%

Chris Billington bought Ṁ10 YES from 59% to 60%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 59% (cancelled) 🤖

Chris Billington bought Ṁ40 YES from 55% to 61%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ100 NO at 55% (cancelled) 🤖

Chris Billington bought Ṁ50 YES from 49% to 58%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 NO at 49% (cancelled) 🤖

Alevir7 bought Ṁ50 YES from 41% to 52%

kottsiek bought Ṁ10 NO from 43% to 41%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 29%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 NO at 58%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 NO at 71%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 16%

Francesco Dondi bought Ṁ10 YES from 40% to 43%

mjman bought Ṁ10 YES from 37% to 40%

michael sold Ṁ8 YES from 40% to 37%

ozan bought Ṁ15 NO from 43% to 40%

ozan bought Ṁ10 NO from 46% to 43%

Erik Dahl sold Ṁ11 NO from 43% to 46%

MAcs 19R1 bought Ṁ10 YES from 40% to 43%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ8 YES at 40% (cancelled)

ozan bought Ṁ10 NO from 41% to 39%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 YES at 41% (cancelled)

ozan bought Ṁ15 NO from 44% to 40%

TheWiggleManRetired sold Ṁ9 YES from 47% to 44%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 NO at 47% (cancelled)

TheWiggleManRetired bought Ṁ10 YES from 45% to 49%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ100 NO at 45% (cancelled)

michael bought Ṁ10 YES from 41% to 46%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ100 NO at 41% (cancelled)

CubityFirst bought Ṁ10 YES from 36% to 42%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100 NO at 36% (cancelled)

CubityFirst bought Ṁ10 YES from 31% to 37%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 NO at 31% (cancelled)

Related questions

Will there be another US Federal Reserve rate hike before the end of 2023?

39% chance

Will the bank of England base rate reach 5.5% anytime in 2023 (or higher)

59% chance

Will the fed funds rate peak above 5.5% in 2023?

38% chance

Will the Fed raise interest rates in the October-November 2023 meeting?

Chris Billington

26% chance

Will the Bank of England raise the UK's interest rate at their 2nd November meeting?

48% chance

Will FED pivot by Q3 2023?

0% chance

Will there be another interest rate hike in Canada in October?

71% chance

Will Bank of Japan's Benchmark Interest Rate be >= 0% by the end of Sep 2023?

13% chance

Will the fed raise interest rates again prior to 01/01/2024

38% chance

What will the November 2023 EE Bond rate be?

Your Treasury Direct

2.7

Will the European Central Bank raise the interest rates until the end of 2023?

42% chance

Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 1/1/2024 be 4.5% or higher?

Super Tax Genius

55% chance

Will the main interest rate (meginvextir) of the central bank of Iceland be higher than 8.75% at the end of 2023?

73% chance

What fixed rate will the US Treasury announce for Series I bonds on Nov 1, 2023?

Your Treasury Direct

0.94

Will the Federal Reserve engineer a soft landing?

24% chance

Will the next change to the fed funds rate be upward?

44% chance

Will Poland’s Monetary Policy Council increase the reference interest rate before 2024?

35% chance

Will the Russian Central Bank raise interest rates to or above 20% by EOY 2023?

19% chance

How much will the Fed change interest rates in the November meeting?

Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?

6% chance