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MANIFOLD
Will MIRI's "Do Not Accept" campaign reach 1 million views on a single X post by November 24 11:59 PM ET?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ76
Nov 25
25%
chance

Resolves YES if any X (Twitter) post explicitly discussing or promoting MIRI's "Do Not Accept" campaign, launched November 9, 2026, reaches at least 1,000,000 publicly displayed views by November 24, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

Posts by MIRI, the campaign's official accounts, supporters, critics, journalists, and unrelated third parties all qualify.

The campaign must be a central subject of the post, not merely mentioned in passing.

Views cannot be combined across multiple posts. Quote posts count separately from the posts they quote.

Resolution will be based on publicly displayed X view counts, with timestamped screenshots or credible archives accepted as evidence.

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