S&P 500 Closes Higher On Friday February 7th 2025 Than It Closed On Friday January 31st 2025? (SP500F-#6)
S&P 500 Closes Higher On Friday February 7th 2025 Than It Closed On Friday January 31st 2025? (SP500F-#6)
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1kṀ24kresolved Feb 8
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Will It Close Higher?
S&P 500 closes daily at 4pm ET (9pm UTC)
*This counts as week 6 for my yearly market*Resolves Yes For Higher Close
Resolves No If Closes Flat (Same close price) OR Lower Close
Resolves N/A If Markets Are Closed For Holiday Or Unforeseen Circumstances.Resolves according to historical data on Nasdaq.com
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If Any Clarification Is Needed, I May Temporarily Close The Market To Make Clarifying Statements & Than Re-Open ; Feel Free To Ask For Clarification Through Messages Rather Than Making A Comment. Comments are not a clarification unless posted into the description.
In The Event That A Market Is "Sweepified" The Resolution Of The Mana Market Will Resolve The Same As The Resolution Manifold Resolves & Only When Manifold Resolves The "Sweepified" Market.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.