Will the 2023-2024 Australian bushfire season be the worst on record?
14
67
290
May 1
1%
chance

In terms of burnt area.

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  • @LukaszWiklendt Inactive Creator

  • 📝Close Time Updated To Reflect Average Length Of "Australian Bushfire Season"

  • 🧙‍♂️Please Note This Market May Extend Further If Information Given From The Wiki Page Linked States Or Implies The Bushfire Season Is Still "Ongoing" or "Current" or "Present" Or Similar Phrasing That Means It Is Still Occurring.

bought Ṁ110 of NO

Looks like it probably will end up being second-worst, but worst is a high bar:

The worst season recorded is 1974-75, with 117 million hectares (290 million acres) burned, equivalent to 15 percent of Australia's physical land mass that equates to the entire area of France, Spain, and Portugal combined.

Whereas the current season was about half that by November:

The current fire season burnt over 61 million ha (150,734,282 acres) by November, already burning more than the entirety of the 2019–20 bushfire season.[10]

Plenty of the season yet to go, but it seems that the intensity has decreased significantly.

predicts NO

@LukaszWiklendt you may wish to extend the market close date until some time into 2024, it currently closes at the end of 2023.