Lorxus has applied to the SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program, and was accepted offsite-only to John Wentworth's track. They are still waiting on their applications to the Hebbar and Hubinger tracks.

The market resolves YES if Lorxus gets accepted to one or more of the Hebbar and Hubinger tracks. It resolves NO if they are rejected from both. The market may thus resolve early, and without warning; the close date is expected to be well after the point by which they will have heard any rejection or acceptance.

A few relevant facts: (Duplicate from the previous market)
-SERI MATS has said that it will announce its decisions "by mid-late May".
-Lorxus has recently (~1.5 y) completed their math PhD. They have published a single preprint on ArXiV. They know category theory.

-Lorxus believes the application questions to have been well within their abilities, and genuinely believes their answers were good, to the best of their ability.

-Lorxus has spent a lot of time in the ratsphere, and has a standing interest in AI alignment.

-Lorxus applied to work with both Evan Hubinger and John Wentworth, and was accepted to only the offsite portion of the latter. They subsequently made a third application, to Vivek Hebbar. (EDIT: Finished the application to Hebbar last night.)

-Lorxus will answer further questions of fact on their relevant personal details in the comments in exchange for enough marbles. (Enough might be zero.)

Insider trading is welcomed on this market.