5
101
แน€1K
2025
12%
chance

Will persons of interest R and S avert the Gigasecond Ultimatum, or will they fail to escape the consequences of their accumulated actions and inactions?

The market resolves YES if R and S both fulfill their respective preconditions, thus averting the fallout of the Gigasecond Ultimatum.

The market resolves NO if either or both of R and S fail to acceptably satisfy those preconditions, and the Gigasecond Ultimatum comes to pass.

The market resolves 50% if both R and S acceptably satisfy the preconditions, and at least one of R and S fail to fully satisfy them. At that point a second ultimatum and accompanying market will be issued.

The market resolves N/A if the aversion of the Gigasecond Ultimatum becomes pointless, impossible, blatantly infeasible, actively harmful, or nonsensical.

Personal/private/vague market. If you know, you know.

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predicts YES

Currently contemplating a PIMO approach.