MANIFOLD
How many days will GitHub go down in April
5
Ṁ150Ṁ625
Apr 30
-13.8 times
expected
97%
Above 0
89%
Above 2
62%
Above 5
38%
Above 10
14%
Above 15
5%
Above 20

Resolution criteria

This market resolves based on the number of distinct days where any downtime is reported https://www.githubstatus.com/uptime during April 2026 where GitHub services experience downtime or degraded performance. Resolution will be determined by reviewing the calendar at https://www.githubstatus.com/uptime at the end of April 2026

Market context
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