Will Republicans try to remove Biden from the presidential ballot in Texas, using the border dispute as justification?

Ṁ230Ṁ262

resolved Mar 1

Resolved

ALL

The Texas governor is escalating the conflict between state and federal officials on the border, describing Biden's actions as violating the law. https://thehill.com/latino/4427387-abbott-texas-border-invasion-supreme-court-immigration/

Market context

US Politics

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ40
2		Ṁ17
3		Ṁ16
4		Ṁ12
5		Ṁ9

People are also trading

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

84% chance

Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?

50% chance

Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?

86% chance

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

17% chance

If a Republican wins the 2024 presidential election, will they order military operations in Mexico?

72% chance

If Democrats win the 2026 Midterms will Republicans contest or deny the results?

82% chance

Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?

If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]

56% chance

Will Republicans lawmakers try to repeal the current presidential term limit before the 2028 election?

24% chance

If a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?

17% chance

Sort by:

While Dan Patrick (TX Lt. Gov) did float this idea back in December, I didn't see any concrete steps taken to remove Biden from the ballot.

@Lizzard resolve plz

@Lizzard does the close date mean anything?

predictedYES

Anything that happens after the close date doesn't affect this prediction!

@Lizzard so it Resolves NO on Feb 24th?

What does "try to remove" mean? They don't have to be successful?

@AlexBeal If you don’t get a response from @Lizzard, I’d say it either mean a. Impeachment resolution endorsed by House GOP leadership or b. House passes impeachment resolution.

predictedYES

I intended it to mean that the state of Texas makes legal moves to block Biden from the Presidential ballot in a similar way to how Colorado blocked Trump from the primary ballot. And that in that legal filing they would reference this border incident!

@Lizzard The challenge in Colorado was brought by a group of voters, though, not the state; would it count if some individual Republicans filed a lawsuit to get Biden thrown off the ballot in Texas?