Will Joe Manchin run for Senate next cycle? | Manifold

Will Joe Manchin run for Senate next cycle?

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32

Ṁ15k

resolved Jun 26

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves NO if Manchin announces retirement, misses the filing deadline, or makes some other obvious indicator of not running. Resolves YES if he enters the primary for his next eligible term

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#US Congressional Elections 2024

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bought Ṁ3,743 NO

@mods resolves no

bought Ṁ2,000 NO

@LivInTheLookingGlass Resolves NO

He's out. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/09/us/politics/manchin-democrats-senate-reelection.html

Related market: https://manifold.markets/lisamarsh/will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen

Given politicians' frequency of changing their minds, I'm not sure that announcing retirement should cause this market to resolve NO.

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