Since Manifold is as flexible as a shoebox regarding subsidies, I've put up a bunch of limit orders instead. I'd highly encourage you to use limit orders to buy large amounts of shares in this market. If anyone would like to "beat" my prices, please feel free to do so. I will adjust and restock the limit orders as needed.

Harris: 85% YES M$6.8k /93% NO M$350

Biden: 48% YES M$3k (expiring every 24 hours)
Gretchen Whitmer 8% YES M$50 / 16% NO M$2k

Gavin Newsom 20% No M$2k

Josh Shapiro 10% NO M$2k
Roy Cooper 10% NO M$2k
Pete Buttigieg 10% NO M$2k
Andy Beshear 10% NO M$2k

Michelle Obama 1% YES M$50 / 4% NO M$5k

[Edit: Updated, restocked a lot and changed the Biden percentage]

I’m at 86% Kamala

No 'other' option?

This is an unlinked MC

When the market doesn't add up to 100%, but some other value, like in this case, there's no Other but there's still a "Add answer" which lets you add an option that is initialized at 50%

Clear!

This market isn't supposed to resolve to 100% in total since more than one option can be choosen. President nominee and VP nominee

Tupac

Not likely; the Democrats wouldn't want to associate with the guy who killed JFK (since he was arguably the most popular Democratic president in recent-ish history.) Maybe Biggie though.

Fair point, badly made. JFK is still alive. He is allegedly speaking for a return to WWE. As a refree.

@egroj fixes the problem for dems: leave Biden as president, Obama can be nominated for VP, they can use 25th Amendment one week in, or wait until Biden dies, and Obama can still serve as president for 2 years

@Lion 😂

Clearly the best choice 🧡 Perfect name recognition and he gets a bunch of young people excited

Sell however much you want, it is still higher than Michelle Obama

not anymore. just for you

And now Michelle and Jimmy have higher odds than her 😍

@Joshua And of course you're buying Michelle down 😢

Joshua told me 6 months ago that Michelle Obama is not running for President and he has also advised me to bet every mana I have against it happening.

But he never said anything about Vice President....

Let the poor woman tend her vegetable garden!

No one says she can't have a vegetable garden in the White House again 😏

I don't particularly agree with the odds on Polymarket and PredictIt (7%/8% for the presidential nominee), but I still think you're undervaluing her a little bit in the current situation. And I have a heart for memes.