Whatever Musk tweets or reposts, including reposts (the content directly visible in the repost and pictures (videos, podcasts, etc. are excluded) without opening a thread) after market creation/adding the submission, counts. Whatever is visible under "Posts" on his page, even if deleted later, also counts. Replies, etc., do not count.
Please don't submit any obvious answers like "SpaceX" or topics he regulary posts about. [I'll N/A obvious spam and rename.]
Literally submissions will only be based on what Musk directly types on X in his own posts and in the text above reposts. This does not include what other people write or what he uses in replies. Furthermore, it does not include what he says in a video or what is visible in a picture or meme, even if these contain words.
Resolution criteria
I'll be fairly relaxed, but it should be clear and obvious. I.e. if he tweets "the president does[...]," Joe Biden would resolve to yes. However, "Obamacare" won't resolve "Obama." "Transgender" isn't enough to resolve "LGBT," but "LGBTQIA+" and "transgender, [...] homosexuals and bisexuals" would resolve "LGBT." If the submission requires an international context, the submission won't resolve if Musk only mentions a single country. If you need more examples, please feel free to ask.
I'll use my own judgment and might seek input from mods in unclear cases or decide to N/A or resolve to 50%/50%.
I won't bet in this market except to push certain answers in the ranking.
The question closes at the end of Veterans Day [2024-11-11] at 23:59:59 PT. Any submissions without proof by November 13th at 0:00 PST will be resolved as NO.
Only original posts and reposts are considered for this question. Replies do not count.
If you'd like to add a submission but don't have the Mana for it, please do not hesitate to ask. I'm happy to add it 🧡
Quick links:
@shankypanky Metamarket: Will this market resolve based on a Starlink post about Internet in China?😂
Can't believe we both have been that wrong, of course it's the population collapse https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1821408782712291808
haha, maybe the outage wasn't the worst thing after all