If Trump wins, will he tweet within a week after the election on X?
Standard
40
Ṁ5503
Nov 13
95%
chance
  • If Donald Trump is not the elected president, this market will resolve as N/A.

  • Only confirmed accounts, specifically @realDonaldTrump, are eligible. Spam or obviously fake tweets not from him or his team will not be considered.

  • Only original posts or reposts with added text will count. Replies and simple reposts will not be included. For instance, the first tweet wouldn't count, but the second one would count:

  • The timeframe for this market is defined as November 5th, 20:00 EST, to November 12th, 23:59 EST.

If you've any questions or if any scenarios are unclear, please ask beforehand. Otherwise, I will use my best judgment to resolve this question. I might seek input from others if I feel too biased. I will bet in this market.

Related conditional question:

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@weissz FYI: Sorry, I had a mistake in both markets in the description, I've changed it to November 5th 20:00 EST.