Will "Yudkowsky vs Hanson on FOOM: Whose Prediction..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
0
Feb 1
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Yudkowsky vs Hanson on FOOM: Whose Predictions Were Better? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Cohabitive Games so Far" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "My AI Model Delta Compared To Yudkowsky" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
50% chance
Will "re: Yudkowsky on biological materials" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "The Base Rate Times, news through prediction ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Letter in Time Magazine" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Alexander and Yudkowsky on AGI goals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Dark Forest Theories" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
15% chance