Will "What’s up with LLMs representing XORs of arbi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
0
2026
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post What’s up with LLMs representing XORs of arbitrary features? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Alignment Implications of LLM Successes: a De..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
57% chance
Will "What’s up with LLMs representing XORs of arbi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "Refusal in LLMs is mediated by a single direction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "Connecting the Dots: LLMs can Infer & Verbali..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Sleeper Agents: Training Deceptive LLMs that ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
28% chance
Will "LLMs Sometimes Generate Purely Negatively-Rei..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "How LLMs are and are not myopic" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "“Reframing Superintelligence” + LLMs + 4 years" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "AI doom from an LLM-plateau-ist perspective" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
11% chance