Will "UFO Betting: Put Up or Shut Up" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
2
1kṀ591resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post UFO Betting: Put Up or Shut Up is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ67 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will "That Alien Message - The Animation" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Introducing Open Asteroid Impact" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Believing In" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
87% chance
Will "Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "AIs Will Increasingly Attempt Shenanigans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Priors and Prejudice" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "2023 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "OpenAI: Exodus" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "2023 Survey Results" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2% chance