Will "The worthlessness of vitamin D is mildly exag..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
2
Ṁ1kṀ2612028
12%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The worthlessness of vitamin D is mildly exaggerated is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will "Basics of How Not to Die" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "You Can Just Buy Far-UVC" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The title is reasonable" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
6% chance
Will "The Best Lack All Conviction: A Confusing Day..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "You’re probably overestimating how well you u..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Lethal Reality Hypothesis" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Many individual CEVs are probably quite bad" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Dario probably doesn't believe in superintell..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "The Intelligence Curse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance