Will "The Witness" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
2
Ṁ20Feb 1
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The Witness is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Accidentally Load Bearing" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
40% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "The Witching Hour" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "A Way To Be Okay" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "What I would do if I wasn’t at ARC Evals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Ten Thousand Years of Solitude" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "The King and the Golem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "[New LW Feature] "Debates" " make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
6% chance
Will "I still think it's very unlikely we're observ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance