Will "The smallest possible button (or: moth traps!)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1
Ṁ120Ṁ10resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The smallest possible button (or: moth traps!) is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Honey, I shrunk the brain" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Small Models Can Introspect, Too" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
23% chance
Will "Little Echo" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "Red-Thing-Ism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Put numbers on stuff, all the time, otherwise..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Reviewing LessWrong: Screwtape's Basic Answer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will ""What's my goal?"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Checking in on AI-2027" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Von Neumann's Fallacy and You" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance