Will "The smallest possible button (or: moth traps!)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1
8
Ṁ10Ṁ120
2025
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The smallest possible button (or: moth traps!) is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
33% chance
Will "The ants and the grasshopper" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
64% chance
Will "How useful is mechanistic interpretability?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "The Plan - 2023 Version" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "2023 Unofficial LessWrong Census/Survey" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "Open Thread With Experimental Feature: Reactions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
6% chance
Will "A stylized dialogue on John Wentworth's claim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "The Witness" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "A rough and incomplete review of some of John..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Towards Monosemanticity: Decomposing Language..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance