Will "The smallest possible button (or: moth traps!)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Mini
1
Ṁ102025
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The smallest possible button (or: moth traps!) is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Accidentally Load Bearing" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "Notes from a Prompt Factory" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "On green" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
81% chance
Will "The ants and the grasshopper" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
81% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "The Pareto Best and the Curse of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Ironing Out the Squiggles" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "How much do you believe your results?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
90% chance